• Jamie Samuel

AFL Preliminary Finals Preview

Updated: Oct 13, 2021



We are at the pointy end of what has been a wonderful AFL season in 2021. We are down to the final four, with a spot in the grand final up for grabs, in what should be an incredible week of preliminary finals footy.


Melbourne vs Geelong



First up, minor premiers Melbourne will take on Geelong at Optus Stadium, on Friday night. Melbourne will start favorites to make their first grand final since 2000 and keep its dream of a first premiership since 1964 alive.


Standing in their way are Geelong, who will be looking to make it back onto the big stage after coming runners up last year. Geelong will be looking to avenge last year and win their first flag in a decade.


Melbourne reached the preliminary final after taking care of Brisbane pretty comfortably in the end by 33-points in the qualifying final. Geelong is to face them, after they rebounded from their thrashing at the hands of Port Adelaide in the qualifying final, to take care of Greater Western Sydney by 35-points in the semi-final.


Melbourne has taken care of Geelong both times this year. In round four it was Melbourne who got the job done by 25-points at the MCG, but who could possibly forget the match in round 23? Melbourne trailing by 44-points, to stun the Cats with the last nine goals of the game, including Max Gawn’s match wining goal after the final siren to secure the Demon's first minor premiership since 1964.


Key Players


Melbourne: Christian Petracca, Max Gawn, Jack Viney, Bayley Fritsch, Clayton Oliver.

Geelong: Tom Hawkins, Patrick Dangerfield, Sam Menagola, Jeremy Cameron, Gary Rohan, Joel Selwood.


Prediction


Geelong will no doubt come into this clash with reasons to want vengeance and they do have a lot of preliminary final experience. However, Melbourne has been the in-form side of the competition and will be feeling very hungry after their embarrassing preliminary final defeat at the hands of the West Coast three years ago.


My feeling is Melbourne will stand up when it matters most and continue their wonderful form into a grand final appearance. What you might expect is a close contest for at least the first half of footy, but my prediction is Melbourne will have a really hot second half and run away with it in the end.


Prediction: Melbourne by 30 points.


Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs




Port Adelaide will host the Western Bulldogs at Adelaide Oval on Saturday night in the second preliminary final. Port looking to make their first grand final appearance since 2007 and avenge that preliminary final loss to Richmond last year. If Port gets through, they will have a chance to win their first premiership since 2004 and second in history.


The Dogs will be looking to have a repeat of their miracle run to the premiership in 2016, where they came from outside the top four to win their second premiership. This would be their first grand final appearance since that day in 2016.


Port reached the preliminary final stage after winning their last six-game of the year in a stunning run of form, to then take care of Geelong comprehensively by 43-points in the qualifying final. The Dogs lost a little bit of late-season form, losing their last three games to slip to fifth. But their finals form has been sensational, drubbing Essendon by 49-points, before pinching a massive upset over the Brisbane Lions by a solitary point in a thrilling semi-final.


Last time these sides met, who will forget the other round 23 thriller? Port trailed all night, and only kicked one goal for the first half. But they would hit back in the second half, with Robbie Grey kicking the winning goal late. Port claimed the second spot, with a 17-5 record. However, the Dogs did manage to defeat Port at Adelaide Oval in round 9 by 19-points.


Key Players


Port Adelaide: Orazio Fantasia, Travis Boak, Steven Motlop, Ollie Wines, Sam Powell-Pepper.


Western Bulldogs: Jack Macrae, Caleb Daniel, Bailey Smith, Tom Liberatore, Josh Dunkley, Josh Schache, Adam Treloar, Aaron Naughton.


Prediction


The Dogs will feel they can get the job done and will be wanting vengeance against Port for denying them a spot in the top four in round 23. But the one thing you can’t ignore is Port’s incredible run of form, winning their last seven games and will have the home crowd behind them.


Port will still be hurting from last year's six-point preliminary final to Richmond and will be desperate to get the job done and make it back to the big stage after 14 long years. Expect a close fierce contest.


Prediction: Port by 10-points.


What an incredible finals series we have seen to this point and now with a grand final spot on the line, we can expect some thrilling finals action. Players will be putting their bodies on the line, for the hopes and aspirations to reach a grand final.


What is incredible about the four teams in week 3, is that the Dogs are the only side to have won the flag in the last five years, so we could be seeing some very significant draughts being broken this year. We fans cannot wait for this year’s preliminary final, so sit back and enjoy some enthralling finals action.

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